Skripsi
Forecasting Analysis Raw Material Necessary of Peanut at Salty Peanut Company "5O" Tegal"
Atik Khusanah, Thesis Title "Forecasting Analysis Raw Material Necessary of Peanut at Salty Peanut Company "5O" Tegal". Study Program Management of Company, Economic Faculty, University of Pancasakti, Tegal, 2010.
The aim of this research is to choose the most precise forecasting method raw material necessary of peanut to be applied in forecasting necessary of raw material (peanut) at salty peanut company "50" Tegal.
Hypothesis in this research is expected that the most precise forecasting of peanut raw material at salty peanut company "50" Tegal is using exponential finesse method.
The collecting data method that used in this research is observation, interview and literature, otherwise the data analysis technique that used in this research is quantitative and qualitative way, quantitative way using simple average method, ranged averaged method. Exponential Finesse method; false forecasting measurement is by Mean Squared Error (MSE).
The data that acquire in this research is as follow; the forecasting with simple average method has Mean Squared Error (MSE) 1.234.530.547,47. The forecasting with range average method four quarter has Mean Squared Error (MSE) 256.408.792,18. The forecasting with exponential finesse method with ? (alpha) 0,7 has Mean Squared Error (MSE) 202.761.717,70.
Based on the research that have been made, obviously the exponential finesse method with ? (alpha) 0,7 is the best method to be applied to predicted the necessary of raw material in Salty Peanut Company "50" Village of Bedug, Subdistrict of Pangkah, Regency of Tegal, because it has most little Mean Squared Error (MSE).
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